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Analysis of the "Flash Crash"
Date of Event: 20100506
Part 3, The Evidence

If you have not yet done so, please become familiar with Part 2-1 and Part 2-2. Understanding the past occurrences and the data presented will help you better understand the charts and data shown here.

In summary, quotes from NYSE began to queue, but because they were time stamped after exiting the queue, the delay was undetectable to systems processing those quotes. The delay was small enough to cause the NYSE bid to be just slightly higher than the lowest offer price from competing exchanges. This caused sell order flow to route to NYSE -- thus removing any buying power that existed on other exchanges. When these sell orders arrived at NYSE, the actual bid price was lower because new lower quotes were still waiting to exit a queue for dissemination.

The small delay was enough to cause the runaway drop that started at approx. 14:42 - 14:43 on 05/06/2010. The following charts clearly show this delay in several key bellwether stocks:


Chart 1-a, 1-b

GE on 05/06/2010


GE on 05/06/2010



Chart 2-a, 2-b

CVX on 05/06/2010



CVX on 05/06/2010



Chart 3-a, 3-b

ADM on 05/06/2010



ADM on 05/06/2010



Chart 4-a, 4-b

KO on 05/06/2010



KO on 05/06/2010



Chart 5-a, 5-b

HD on 05/06/2010



HD on 05/06/2010



Chart 6-a, 6-b

LLY on 05/06/2010



LLY on 05/06/2010



Chart 7-a, 7-b

ABT on 05/06/2010



ABT on 05/06/2010



Chart 8-a, 8-b

AEP on 05/06/2010



AEP on 05/06/2010



Supporting Data:

0506_GE_NSDQ_Bid1.txt
0506_GE_PACF_Bid1.txt
0506_GE_NYSE_Bid1.txt

0506_CVX_NSDQ_Bid1.txt
0506_CVX_PACF_Bid1.txt
0506_CVX_NYSE_Bid1.txt

0506_ABT_NSDQ_Bid1.txt
0506_ABT_PACF_Bid1.txt
0506_ABT_NYSE_Bid1.txt

0506_ADM_NSDQ_Bid1.txt
0506_ADM_PACF_Bid1.txt
0506_ADM_NYSE_Bid1.txt

0506_AEP_NSDQ_Bid1.txt
0506_AEP_PACF_Bid1.txt
0506_AEP_NYSE_Bid1.txt

0506_KO_NSDQ_Bid1.txt
0506_KO_PACF_Bid1.txt
0506_KO_NYSE_Bid1.txt

0506_LLY_NSDQ_Bid1.txt
0506_LLY_PACF_Bid1.txt
0506_LLY_NYSE_Bid1.txt




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Publication Date: June 18, 2010
http://www.nanex.net



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